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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forfar Athletic win with a probability of 41.44%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 32.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forfar Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest East Fife win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| East Fife | Draw | Forfar Athletic |
32.02% ( -3.93) | 26.54% ( -0.1) | 41.44% ( 4.04) |
| Both teams to score 51.61% ( -0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.86% ( -0.22) | 53.14% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.28% ( -0.19) | 74.71% ( 0.19) |
| East Fife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.1% ( -2.63) | 30.89% ( 2.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.81% ( -3.2) | 67.18% ( 3.2) |
| Forfar Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.69% ( 2.11) | 25.31% ( -2.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.92% ( 2.81) | 60.08% ( -2.81) |
| Score Analysis |
| East Fife | Draw | Forfar Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 9.18% ( -0.61) 2-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.59)2-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.79)3-1 @ 2.9% ( -0.47)3-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.49)3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.19)Other @ 3.03% Total : 32.02% | 1-1 @ 12.61% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.53% | 0-1 @ 10.74% ( 0.72) 1-2 @ 8.67% ( 0.47)0-2 @ 7.38% ( 0.89)1-3 @ 3.97% ( 0.43)0-3 @ 3.38% ( 0.58)2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.22)0-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.26)Other @ 2.43% Total : 41.43% |
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