Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Forfar Athletic had a probability of 33.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Forfar Athletic win was 0-1 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dumbarton would win this match.
0.72) 
-0.85) 
