SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Forfar Athletic had a probability of 33.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Forfar Athletic win was 0-1 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dumbarton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dumbarton | Draw | Forfar Athletic |
39.17% ( 0.72) | 27.65% ( 0.13) | 33.18% ( -0.85) |
| Both teams to score 48.54% ( -0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.81% ( -0.61) | 57.19% ( 0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.95% ( -0.48) | 78.05% ( 0.48) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.56% ( 0.12) | 28.44% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.8% ( 0.15) | 64.2% ( -0.16) |
| Forfar Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.83% ( -0.88) | 32.17% ( 0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.34% ( -1) | 68.66% ( 1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dumbarton | Draw | Forfar Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 11.5% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 3.44% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.77% Total : 39.16% | 1-1 @ 13.04% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.65% | 0-1 @ 10.37% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.4% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.74% Total : 33.17% |
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