SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Stranraer | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 6 | Forfar Athletic | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 7 | Albion Rovers | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Elgin City | 4 | -2 | 3 |
| 9 | Annan Athletic | 4 | -5 | 3 |
| 10 | Stenhousemuir | 4 | -5 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forfar Athletic win with a probability of 48.81%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 26.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forfar Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Forfar Athletic | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
48.81% ( 0.06) | 24.91% ( -0.03) | 26.28% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 53.28% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.63% ( 0.08) | 49.36% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.59% ( 0.07) | 71.41% ( -0.07) |
| Forfar Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.75% ( 0.06) | 20.25% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.41% ( 0.09) | 52.59% ( -0.09) |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.81% ( 0.01) | 33.18% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.2% ( 0.01) | 69.79% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Forfar Athletic | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
| 1-0 @ 10.73% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.57% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.03% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.75% Total : 48.81% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.9% | 0-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.53% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.4% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.5% ( -0)Other @ 2.42% Total : 26.28% |
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