Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 50.77%. A win for Cowdenbeath had a probability of 24.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.85%). The likeliest Cowdenbeath win was 1-0 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
