Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Fife win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 33.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a East Fife win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
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