SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 70.93%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Elgin City had a probability of 11.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 1-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.97%), while for a Elgin City win it was 1-2 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dumbarton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dumbarton | Draw | Elgin City |
70.93% ( 1.26) | 17.08% ( -0.7) | 11.99% ( -0.56) |
| Both teams to score 53.16% ( 0.82) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.52% ( 1.93) | 36.48% ( -1.94) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.38% ( 2.08) | 58.62% ( -2.08) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.87% ( 0.8) | 9.13% ( -0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.02% ( 1.89) | 30.97% ( -1.89) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.49% ( 0.38) | 41.5% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22% ( 0.34) | 78% ( -0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dumbarton | Draw | Elgin City |
| 2-0 @ 10.85% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.11)1-0 @ 9.07% ( -0.54)3-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.19)4-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.25)4-1 @ 4.56% ( 0.27)3-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.12)5-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.2)5-1 @ 2.18% ( 0.2)4-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.14)6-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.11)5-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.1)Other @ 3.47% Total : 70.92% | 1-1 @ 7.97% ( -0.39) 2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.37)3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.14% Total : 17.08% | 1-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 3.33% ( -0.29)0-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.43% Total : 11.99% |
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