Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 38.45%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 34.44% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest East Fife win was 0-1 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dumbarton in this match.
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