Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Fife win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Forfar Athletic had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a East Fife win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Forfar Athletic win was 0-1 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
Result | ||
East Fife | Draw | Forfar Athletic |
39.98% ( 0.16) | 27.66% ( -0.06) | 32.36% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 48.33% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.63% ( 0.18) | 57.36% ( -0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.81% ( 0.14) | 78.18% ( -0.14) |
East Fife Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.94% ( 0.18) | 28.06% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.28% ( 0.22) | 63.72% ( -0.23) |
Forfar Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.18% ( 0.02) | 32.82% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.61% ( 0.02) | 69.38% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
East Fife | Draw | Forfar Athletic |
1-0 @ 11.7% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.51% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.82% Total : 39.97% | 1-1 @ 13.03% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.65% | 0-1 @ 10.25% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 7.26% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.7% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.59% Total : 32.35% |
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