Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Fife win with a probability of 38.92%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a East Fife win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 1-0 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
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