SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterhead win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterhead win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest East Fife win was 0-1 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Peterhead | Draw | East Fife |
38.57% ( -0.05) | 26.25% ( 0.01) | 35.18% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 53.29% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.67% ( -0.05) | 51.33% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.84% ( -0.05) | 73.16% ( 0.04) |
| Peterhead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.98% ( -0.05) | 26.02% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.95% ( -0.07) | 61.05% ( 0.07) |
| East Fife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.02% ( -0.01) | 27.97% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.39% ( -0.01) | 63.61% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterhead | Draw | East Fife |
| 1-0 @ 9.8% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.4% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.77% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0)4-0 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 2.37% Total : 38.57% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.25% | 0-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.95% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.38% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.51% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.82% Total : 35.18% |
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