SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterhead win with a probability of 49.23%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 25.81% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterhead win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Peterhead | Draw | Elgin City |
49.23% ( 0.52) | 24.96% ( -0.16) | 25.81% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 52.72% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.09% ( 0.41) | 49.9% ( -0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.1% ( 0.36) | 71.89% ( -0.36) |
| Peterhead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.7% ( 0.38) | 20.29% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.34% ( 0.6) | 52.66% ( -0.61) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.14% ( -0.08) | 33.85% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.47% ( -0.08) | 70.52% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterhead | Draw | Elgin City |
| 1-0 @ 10.95% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 5.03% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.72% Total : 49.22% | 1-1 @ 11.86% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.95% | 0-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.29% Total : 25.81% |
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