SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 65.62%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Elgin City had a probability of 14.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.82%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Elgin City win it was 0-1 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Elgin City |
65.62% ( 0.2) | 20.25% ( -0.09) | 14.13% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 48.4% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.05% ( 0.18) | 45.95% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.74% ( 0.17) | 68.26% ( -0.16) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.83% ( 0.12) | 13.17% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.12% ( 0.23) | 39.88% ( -0.23) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.74% ( -0.04) | 44.26% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.66% ( -0.04) | 80.34% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Elgin City |
| 2-0 @ 11.97% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 11.82% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0)3-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.6% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.86% Total : 65.61% | 1-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.81% Total : 20.25% | 0-1 @ 4.75% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.08% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.36% Total : 14.13% |
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