Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forfar Athletic win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Spartans had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forfar Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Spartans win was 1-0 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
0.01) 
-0.01) 
