Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartans win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartans win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Spartans	Draw	Dumbarton
43.15% ( -0.05)	24.56% ( -0)	32.29% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 58.3% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.48% (

0.04)

44.52% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.11% (

0.04)

66.89% (

-0.04)

Spartans Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.27% (

-0)

20.73% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.65% (

-0.01)

53.35% (

0.01)

Dumbarton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.54% (

0.05)

26.46% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.36% (

0.07)

61.63% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Spartans 43.15%

Dumbarton 32.29%

Draw 24.55%

Spartans	Draw	Dumbarton
2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.74% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.56% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.86% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0) Other @ 2.75% Total : 43.15%	1-1 @ 11.47% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.55%	1-2 @ 7.63% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.29% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.38% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.2% Total : 32.29%