SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartans win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartans win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Spartans | Draw | Dumbarton |
43.15% ( -0.05) | 24.56% ( -0) | 32.29% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 58.3% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.48% ( 0.04) | 44.52% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.11% ( 0.04) | 66.89% ( -0.04) |
| Spartans Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.27% ( -0) | 20.73% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.65% ( -0.01) | 53.35% ( 0.01) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.54% ( 0.05) | 26.46% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.36% ( 0.07) | 61.63% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spartans | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.74% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.56% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.86% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0)Other @ 2.75% Total : 43.15% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.55% | 1-2 @ 7.63% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.29% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.38% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.2% Total : 32.29% |
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