SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartans win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 36.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartans win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 1-0 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | Spartans |
36.5% ( 0.16) | 25.46% ( -0.03) | 38.03% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 56.1% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.21% ( 0.16) | 47.79% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.02% ( 0.15) | 69.98% ( -0.15) |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.48% ( 0.17) | 25.52% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.62% ( 0.23) | 60.38% ( -0.22) |
| Spartans Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.32% ( 0.01) | 24.68% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.79% ( 0.01) | 59.21% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | Spartans |
| 1-0 @ 8.6% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.74% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.59% Total : 36.5% | 1-1 @ 12.03% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.46% | 0-1 @ 8.81% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 8.42% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 1.83% Total : 38.03% |
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