SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stirling Albion win with a probability of 53.32%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 23.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stirling Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 1-2 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stirling Albion would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stirling Albion | Draw | Elgin City |
53.32% ( -2.48) | 22.79% ( 0.11) | 23.89% ( 2.36) |
| Both teams to score 57.84% ( 2.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.81% ( 2.18) | 42.19% ( -2.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.4% ( 2.15) | 64.59% ( -2.16) |
| Stirling Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.18% ( -0.08) | 15.82% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55% ( -0.14) | 44.99% ( 0.14) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.71% ( 3.32) | 31.29% ( -3.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.35% ( 3.69) | 67.64% ( -3.69) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stirling Albion | Draw | Elgin City |
| 2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 9.13% ( -0.94)2-0 @ 8.42% ( -0.9)3-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 5.17% ( -0.57)3-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.26)4-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.27)4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.12)5-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.55% Total : 53.32% | 1-1 @ 10.6% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.44)0-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.5)3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.21)Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.78% | 1-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.49) 0-1 @ 5.75% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.27)1-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.38)2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.35)0-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.21)Other @ 2.76% Total : 23.89% |
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