Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Edinburgh City win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Edinburgh City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
