SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 50.97%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 26.36% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.07%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 2-1 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aberdeen | Draw | Rangers |
26.36% ( -0.01) | 22.67% ( -0.01) | 50.97% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 60.91% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.67% ( 0.04) | 39.32% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.34% ( 0.04) | 61.66% ( -0.04) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.18% ( 0.01) | 27.82% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.58% ( 0.02) | 63.41% ( -0.01) |
| Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.39% ( 0.02) | 15.61% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.4% ( 0.04) | 44.6% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aberdeen | Draw | Rangers |
| 2-1 @ 6.6% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.55% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.82% 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.52% ( -0)Other @ 3.7% Total : 26.36% | 1-1 @ 10.31% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.34% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0)Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.67% | 1-2 @ 9.58% 0-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.49% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.93% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.64% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.8% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.76% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.15% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.76% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 3.77% Total : 50.97% |
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