SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 72.79%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Dundee United had a probability of 10.61%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%), while for a Dundee United win it was 0-1 (3.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aberdeen | Draw | Dundee United |
72.79% ( -0.06) | 16.59% ( 0.09) | 10.61% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 50% ( -0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.9% ( -0.58) | 38.09% ( 0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.63% ( -0.62) | 60.36% ( 0.62) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.89% ( -0.16) | 9.11% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.07% ( -0.39) | 30.93% ( 0.38) |
| Dundee United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.01% ( -0.46) | 44.98% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.08% ( -0.37) | 80.92% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aberdeen | Draw | Dundee United |
| 2-0 @ 11.75% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 9.82% ( 0.2)2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0)3-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 5.63% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.05)6-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.08% Total : 72.78% | 1-1 @ 7.84% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.9% Total : 16.59% | 0-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.31% ( 0)2-3 @ 1% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.9% Total : 10.61% |
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