SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 42.41%. A win for Rangers had a probability of 34.63% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.47%) and 0-2 (5.62%). The likeliest Rangers win was 2-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rangers | Draw | Ajax |
34.63% ( -0.21) | 22.96% ( 0.05) | 42.41% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 64.96% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.86% ( -0.31) | 36.14% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.75% ( -0.34) | 58.25% ( 0.34) |
| Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.83% ( -0.25) | 21.16% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.97% ( -0.39) | 54.03% ( 0.39) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.4% ( -0.06) | 17.6% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.83% ( -0.1) | 48.17% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rangers | Draw | Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 4.49% 3-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.32% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 0.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.85% Total : 34.63% | 1-1 @ 10.04% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.78% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.96% | 1-2 @ 8.73% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 5.06% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 2.2% 2-4 @ 1.71% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.03% Total : 42.41% |
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