SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 46.53%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aberdeen | Draw | St Mirren |
| 46.53% | 25.92% | 27.55% |
| Both teams to score 51.18% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.41% | 52.59% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.75% | 74.25% |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.42% | 22.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.82% | 56.18% |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.11% | 33.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.44% | 70.56% |
| Score Analysis |
| Aberdeen | Draw | St Mirren |
| 1-0 @ 11.38% 2-1 @ 9.17% 2-0 @ 8.47% 3-1 @ 4.55% 3-0 @ 4.2% 3-2 @ 2.46% 4-1 @ 1.69% 4-0 @ 1.56% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.12% Total : 46.53% | 1-1 @ 12.32% 0-0 @ 7.65% 2-2 @ 4.96% Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.92% | 0-1 @ 8.28% 1-2 @ 6.67% 0-2 @ 4.48% 1-3 @ 2.41% 2-3 @ 1.79% 0-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.31% Total : 27.55% |
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