SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 36.71%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.77%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-0 (11.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Mirren | Draw | Aberdeen |
35.04% ( 0.38) | 28.25% ( 0.03) | 36.71% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 47.04% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.82% ( -0.1) | 59.18% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.39% ( -0.08) | 79.6% ( 0.08) |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.05% ( 0.2) | 31.95% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.6% ( 0.23) | 68.4% ( -0.23) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.12% ( -0.31) | 30.88% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.83% ( -0.36) | 67.17% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Mirren | Draw | Aberdeen |
| 1-0 @ 11.25% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 2.87% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.81% Total : 35.03% | 1-1 @ 13.22% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.87% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.24% | 0-1 @ 11.59% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.77% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.09% Total : 36.71% |
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