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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 63.84%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 16.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 1-0 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.66%), while for a Lazio win it was 1-2 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Lazio in this match.
| Result | ||
| Celtic | Draw | Lazio |
63.84% ( -0.3) | 19.17% ( 0.2) | 16.99% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 59.23% ( -0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.88% ( -0.79) | 35.12% ( 0.79) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.88% ( -0.89) | 57.12% ( 0.88) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.54% ( -0.3) | 10.45% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.94% ( -0.68) | 34.05% ( 0.68) |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.14% ( -0.38) | 33.86% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.47% ( -0.41) | 70.52% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celtic | Draw | Lazio |
| 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.13)1-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 3.84% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.04)5-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.05)Other @ 4.05% Total : 63.84% | 1-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.24% Total : 19.17% | 1-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 3.83% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.79% Total : 16.99% |
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