SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Livingston | 5 | -5 | 6 |
| 8 | Hibernian | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 9 | Kilmarnock | 5 | -7 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Hibernian | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 9 | Kilmarnock | 5 | -7 | 4 |
| 10 | St Johnstone | 5 | -6 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 42.87%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 29.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hibernian in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hibernian | Draw | Kilmarnock |
42.87% ( 0.24) | 27.62% ( -0.35) | 29.51% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 47.35% ( 1.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.91% ( 1.26) | 58.09% ( -1.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.24% ( 0.98) | 78.76% ( -0.98) |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.17% ( 0.72) | 26.82% ( -0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.88% ( 0.94) | 62.12% ( -0.94) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.71% ( 0.76) | 35.29% ( -0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.95% ( 0.78) | 72.04% ( -0.78) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hibernian | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 1-0 @ 12.45% ( -0.35) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 8.2% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.74% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.98% Total : 42.86% | 1-1 @ 12.97% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 9.47% ( -0.46)2-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.15)Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.62% | 0-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 6.76% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.08% Total : 29.51% |
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