Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | Livingston | 5 | -5 | 6 |
8 | Hibernian | 5 | -1 | 5 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 5 | -7 | 4 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | Hibernian | 5 | -1 | 5 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 5 | -7 | 4 |
10 | St Johnstone | 5 | -6 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 42.87%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 29.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hibernian in this match.
Result | ||
Hibernian | Draw | Kilmarnock |
42.87% ( 0.24) | 27.62% ( -0.35) | 29.51% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 47.35% ( 1.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.91% ( 1.26) | 58.09% ( -1.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.24% ( 0.98) | 78.76% ( -0.98) |
Hibernian Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.17% ( 0.72) | 26.82% ( -0.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.88% ( 0.94) | 62.12% ( -0.94) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.71% ( 0.76) | 35.29% ( -0.76) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.95% ( 0.78) | 72.04% ( -0.78) |
Score Analysis |
Hibernian | Draw | Kilmarnock |
1-0 @ 12.45% ( -0.35) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 8.2% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.74% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.98% Total : 42.86% | 1-1 @ 12.97% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 9.47% ( -0.46) 2-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.62% | 0-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 6.76% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.08% Total : 29.51% |
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