SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 44.51%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hibernian | Draw | Aberdeen |
44.51% ( -1.91) | 23.83% ( 0.43) | 31.66% ( 1.49) |
| Both teams to score 60.6% ( -0.74) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.61% ( -1.31) | 41.38% ( 1.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.22% ( -1.35) | 63.78% ( 1.35) |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.14% ( -1.29) | 18.85% ( 1.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.69% ( -2.2) | 50.31% ( 2.21) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.68% ( 0.28) | 25.32% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.9% ( 0.38) | 60.1% ( -0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hibernian | Draw | Aberdeen |
| 2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.3)3-0 @ 3.7% ( -0.25)3-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.18)4-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.22)4-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.17)4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.14)Other @ 3.4% Total : 44.51% | 1-1 @ 10.94% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.28)3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.83% | 1-2 @ 7.51% ( 0.25) 0-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.43)0-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.33)1-3 @ 3.44% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 2.87% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.17)1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.55% Total : 31.66% |
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