Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 53.55%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 19.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.35%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Livingston win it was 0-1 (8.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.