SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 59%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Hibernian had a probability of 19.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Hibernian win it was 1-0 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hibernian | Draw | Rangers |
19.15% ( -0.03) | 21.85% ( 0.04) | 59% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 54.02% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.04% ( -0.21) | 43.95% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.66% ( -0.21) | 66.34% ( 0.21) |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.22% ( -0.16) | 36.78% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.44% ( -0.16) | 73.56% ( 0.16) |
| Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.45% ( -0.07) | 14.55% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.4% ( -0.13) | 42.6% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hibernian | Draw | Rangers |
| 1-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 2.68% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.58% Total : 19.15% | 1-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.84% | 0-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 9.94% ( -0)0-2 @ 9.94% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 6.39% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 6.39% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 3.08% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 3.08% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.19% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.76% Total : 59% |
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