SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 42.85%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 31.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Kilmarnock |
42.85% ( -0.06) | 26.13% ( 0) | 31.02% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 52.51% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.2% ( 0.02) | 51.81% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.43% ( 0.01) | 73.57% ( -0.01) |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.01% ( -0.02) | 23.99% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.76% ( -0.03) | 58.24% ( 0.04) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.09% ( 0.05) | 30.91% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.8% ( 0.06) | 67.2% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 1-0 @ 10.58% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.56% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.22% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.48% 4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0)Other @ 2.76% Total : 42.85% | 1-1 @ 12.42% 0-0 @ 7.42% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.12% | 0-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.04% ( 0)0-3 @ 2% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.01% Total : 31.02% |
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