SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ross County win with a probability of 37.58%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 36.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ross County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ross County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ross County | Draw | Kilmarnock |
37.58% ( 0.01) | 25.88% ( -0) | 36.53% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.64% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.35% ( 0.02) | 49.64% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.33% ( 0.01) | 71.66% ( -0.01) |
| Ross County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.22% ( 0.02) | 25.78% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.27% ( 0.02) | 60.72% ( -0.02) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.62% ( 0) | 26.37% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.47% ( 0) | 61.52% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ross County | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 1-0 @ 9.22% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.33% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.25% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.76% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.82% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 2.47% Total : 37.58% | 1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 6.8% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.88% | 0-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.19% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.04% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.64% 0-3 @ 2.68% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.25% Total : 36.53% |
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