Kilmarnock may have faced their challenges this season, but their strong home form - losing only three of their 12 home fixtures - leads us to believe they will secure a victory here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 64.51%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 13.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.24%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 0-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
Kilmarnock	Draw	St Johnstone
64.51% ( -0.04)	21.79% ( 0.02)	13.7% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 42.75% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.01% (

-0.03)

52.99% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.41% (

-0.03)

74.59% (

0.03)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.21% (

-0.02)

15.79% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.07% (

-0.05)

44.94% (

0.05)

St Johnstone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.77% (

0.01)

49.23% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.88% (

0.01)

84.12% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Kilmarnock 64.5%

St Johnstone 13.7%

Draw 21.78%

Kilmarnock	Draw	St Johnstone
1-0 @ 14.34% 2-0 @ 13.24% 2-1 @ 9.38% 3-0 @ 8.15% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.77% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.76% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.66% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.39% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 1.83% Total : 64.5%	1-1 @ 10.16% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.33% ( 0) Other @ 0.53% Total : 21.78%	0-1 @ 5.51% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.6% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.63% Total : 13.7%