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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 77.17%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 8.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.11%) and 1-2 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.72%), while for a Motherwell win it was 2-1 (2.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Motherwell | Draw | Celtic |
8.51% ( 0.29) | 14.31% ( 0.17) | 77.17% ( -0.46) |
| Both teams to score 49.93% ( 0.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.26% ( 0.2) | 33.74% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.43% ( 0.23) | 55.57% ( -0.23) |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.76% ( 0.81) | 46.23% ( -0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.1% ( 0.61) | 81.9% ( -0.62) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.87% ( -0.05) | 7.13% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.04% ( -0.13) | 25.96% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Motherwell | Draw | Celtic |
| 2-1 @ 2.59% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 2.54% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.4% Total : 8.51% | 1-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.1)0-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.88% Total : 14.31% | 0-2 @ 11.49% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 10.11% ( -0.19)1-2 @ 8.87% ( 0.06)0-1 @ 8.71% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 7.81% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 6.68% ( -0.14)1-4 @ 5.15% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 3.53% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.08)1-5 @ 2.72% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.99% ( 0.05)0-6 @ 1.55% ( -0.04)1-6 @ 1.2% ( -0)2-5 @ 1.05% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.29% Total : 77.16% |
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