SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 36.43%. A win for Ross County had a probability of 35.84% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 0-1 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.86%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Ross County win was 1-0 (10.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Johnstone would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ross County | Draw | St Johnstone |
35.84% ( -1.3) | 27.73% ( -0.03) | 36.43% ( 1.33) |
| Both teams to score 48.63% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.77% ( 0.13) | 57.22% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.92% ( 0.11) | 78.07% ( -0.11) |
| Ross County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.55% ( -0.73) | 30.45% ( 0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.34% ( -0.88) | 66.66% ( 0.88) |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.91% ( 0.9) | 30.08% ( -0.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.78% ( 1.07) | 66.22% ( -1.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ross County | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 1-0 @ 10.89% ( -0.28) 2-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.16)2-0 @ 6.48% ( -0.3)3-1 @ 3.08% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.27% Total : 35.84% | 1-1 @ 13.08% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.16% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.72% | 0-1 @ 11% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 7.86% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.29)1-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.15)0-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.18)2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.35% Total : 36.43% |
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