SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 45.51%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 25.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.33%) and 2-1 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 0-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| St Mirren | Draw | St Johnstone |
45.51% ( -0.12) | 28.55% ( 0.03) | 25.94% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 42.79% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.2% ( -0.04) | 62.79% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.68% ( -0.03) | 82.32% ( 0.03) |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.34% ( -0.08) | 27.65% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.8% ( -0.1) | 63.2% ( 0.1) |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.14% ( 0.06) | 40.85% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.57% ( 0.05) | 77.42% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Mirren | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 1-0 @ 14.52% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.33% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 8.36% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.6% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.68% Total : 45.51% | 1-1 @ 13% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.29% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.74% ( 0)Other @ 0.51% Total : 28.54% | 0-1 @ 10.11% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 1.27% Total : 25.93% |
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