SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 55.37%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | St Johnstone |
55.37% ( -1.37) | 24.32% ( 0.21) | 20.3% ( 1.15) |
| Both teams to score 48.2% ( 1.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.35% ( 0.58) | 52.65% ( -0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.7% ( 0.49) | 74.29% ( -0.49) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.09% ( -0.3) | 18.91% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.6% ( -0.5) | 50.4% ( 0.5) |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.44% ( 1.61) | 40.56% ( -1.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.84% ( 1.42) | 77.16% ( -1.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kilmarnock | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 1-0 @ 12.77% ( -0.42) 2-0 @ 10.63% ( -0.46)2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.31)3-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.04% Total : 55.36% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.18)2-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.2)Other @ 0.8% Total : 24.31% | 0-1 @ 6.92% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.28)0-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.2)1-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.1)Other @ 1.25% Total : 20.3% |
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