SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 55.4%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Dundee United had a probability of 20.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.18%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Dundee United win it was 1-0 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Johnstone would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundee United | Draw | St Johnstone |
20.82% ( 0.03) | 23.78% ( 0) | 55.4% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 50.56% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.1% ( 0.03) | 49.9% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.1% ( 0.03) | 71.89% ( -0.02) |
| Dundee United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.56% ( 0.05) | 38.44% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.8% ( 0.04) | 75.2% ( -0.04) |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.13% ( 0) | 17.87% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.35% ( 0) | 48.64% |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundee United | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 1-0 @ 6.57% 2-1 @ 5.41% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.14% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.72% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.48% ( 0)3-0 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 1.5% Total : 20.82% | 1-1 @ 11.31% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.95% Total : 23.78% | 0-1 @ 11.83% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 10.18% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 9.74% ( 0)0-3 @ 5.85% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.59% 2-3 @ 2.67% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.52% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.41% 2-4 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 3.46% Total : 55.39% |
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