SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albacete win with a probability of 37.85%. A win for Burgos had a probability of 33.2% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albacete win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.72%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Burgos win was 1-0 (11.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burgos | Draw | Albacete |
33.2% ( -0.25) | 28.95% ( 0.47) | 37.85% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 44.84% ( -1.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.21% ( -1.66) | 61.78% ( 1.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.42% ( -1.24) | 81.58% ( 1.24) |
| Burgos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.45% ( -1.05) | 34.55% ( 1.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.73% ( -1.13) | 71.27% ( 1.13) |
| Albacete Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.51% ( -0.97) | 31.49% ( 0.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.12% ( -1.14) | 67.88% ( 1.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burgos | Draw | Albacete |
| 1-0 @ 11.56% ( 0.38) 2-1 @ 7.1% ( -0.16)2-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.25% Total : 33.2% | 1-1 @ 13.36% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 10.88% ( 0.66)2-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.2)Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.95% | 0-1 @ 12.57% ( 0.44) 1-2 @ 7.72% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 7.26% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.94% Total : 37.84% |
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