Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albacete win with a probability of 37.85%. A win for Burgos had a probability of 33.2% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albacete win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.72%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Burgos win was 1-0 (11.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Burgos	Draw	Albacete
33.2% ( -0.25)	28.95% ( 0.47)	37.85% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 44.84% (

-1.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.21% (

-1.66)

61.78% (

1.65)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.42% (

-1.24)

81.58% (

1.24)

Burgos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.45% (

-1.05)

34.55% (

1.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.73% (

-1.13)

71.27% (

1.13)

Albacete Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.51% (

-0.97)

31.49% (

0.97)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.12% (

-1.14)

67.88% (

1.13)

Score Analysis

Burgos 33.2%

Albacete 37.84%

Draw 28.95%

Burgos	Draw	Albacete
1-0 @ 11.56% ( 0.38) 2-1 @ 7.1% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.25% Total : 33.2%	1-1 @ 13.36% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 10.88% ( 0.66) 2-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.95%	0-1 @ 12.57% ( 0.44) 1-2 @ 7.72% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 7.26% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.94% Total : 37.84%