Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albacete win with a probability of 47.59%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 25.49%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albacete win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.33%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (8.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Albacete would win this match.
-0.18) 
0.06) 
