Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albacete win with a probability of 40.08%. A win for Leganes had a probability of 29.97% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albacete win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.1%) and 1-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Leganes win was 1-0 (11.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
-0.19) 
0.48) 
