Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 35.81%. A win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.26%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 (12.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Valladolid would win this match.
0.01) 
-0.01) 
