Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirandes win with a probability of 41.03%. A draw had a probability of 30.2% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 28.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mirandes win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.43%) and 1-2 (7.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.34%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 1-0 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
