Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alcorcon win with a probability of 34.3%. A win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 33.35% and a draw had a probability of 32.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alcorcon win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.86%) and 1-2 (6.28%). The likeliest Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 (14.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (15.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 15.7% likelihood.