Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alcorcon win with a probability of 45.35%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 24.99%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alcorcon win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 2-1 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.02%), while for a Leganes win it was 0-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
0.08) 
-0.25) 
