Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 35.73%. A win for Alcorcon had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.33%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Alcorcon win was 1-0 (12.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%).