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Segunda Division | Gameweek 4
Sep 5, 2021 at 5.15pm UK
Santo Domingo, Alcorcon, Madrid

Alcorcon
1 - 2
Zaragoza

Moyano Carrasquilla (20')
Aguilera (55'), Moyano Carrasquilla (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Eguaras (56'), Vada (84')
Gimenez (63'), Nano (90+3')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Alcorcon and Real Zaragoza.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Alcorcon had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 30.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.81%) and 1-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Alcorcon win was 1-0 (12.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Zaragoza would win this match.

Result
AlcorconDrawReal Zaragoza
30.78%30.66%38.57%
Both teams to score 39.93%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.54%67.47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.42%85.58%
Alcorcon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.51%39.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.82%76.18%
Real Zaragoza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.98%34.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.3%70.7%
Score Analysis
    Alcorcon 30.77%
    Real Zaragoza 38.56%
    Draw 30.65%
AlcorconDrawReal Zaragoza
1-0 @ 12.48%
2-1 @ 6.25%
2-0 @ 5.8%
3-1 @ 1.94%
3-0 @ 1.8%
3-2 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 30.77%
1-1 @ 13.45%
0-0 @ 13.43%
2-2 @ 3.37%
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 30.65%
0-1 @ 14.48%
0-2 @ 7.81%
1-2 @ 7.26%
0-3 @ 2.81%
1-3 @ 2.61%
2-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 38.56%

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