Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Alcorcon had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 30.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.81%) and 1-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Alcorcon win was 1-0 (12.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Zaragoza would win this match.