Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 37.05%. A draw had a probability of 32.4% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 30.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.63%) and 2-1 (6.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.99%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 0-1 (13.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Malaga in this match.
