Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 43.64%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 26.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.08%) and 2-1 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.17%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 0-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Girona in this match.
