Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 38.96%. A draw had a probability of 30.7% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 30.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.92%) and 2-1 (7.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.5%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 0-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
