Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fuenlabrada win with a probability of 34.91%. A draw had a probability of 33.2% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 31.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fuenlabrada win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.09%) and 1-2 (6.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.95%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 1-0 (14.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fuenlabrada would win this match.