Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 44.27%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for UD Logrones had a probability of 26.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.29%) and 2-1 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.12%), while for a UD Logrones win it was 0-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Zaragoza would win this match.