This is a really important match, even at this stage of the season, as a poor result for either could cause major confidence issues. It would not be a surprise to see a home or an away win here, but we just have a feeling that the points will be shared on Sunday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 41.7%. A win for Granada had a probability of 32% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Granada win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Almeria	Draw	Granada
41.7% ( 1.37)	26.3% ( -0.13)	32% ( -1.23)

Both teams to score 52.37% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.84% (

0.25)

52.16% (

-0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.13% (

0.21)

73.87% (

-0.21)

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.27% (

0.83)

24.73% (

-0.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.72% (

1.14)

59.28% (

-1.13)

Granada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.58% (

-0.69)

30.42% (

0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.38% (

-0.83)

66.62% (

0.84)

Score Analysis

Almeria 41.69%

Granada 32%

Draw 26.29%

Almeria	Draw	Granada
1-0 @ 10.5% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.59% Total : 41.69%	1-1 @ 12.5% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.52% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.29%	0-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 7.44% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.26) 1-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.15% Total : 32%